Scary Charts – 10.22.23

So that drywall mass produced home that sells for $1 million just went up from $4,519 a month to $7,016! That is a 55% increase in less than one-year. So we now have realtors struggling since they make money on high sales volume. You have commercial real estate getting absolutely smashed. Banks are in a tough spots since they made bets on a low interest rate environment. But now, that same home will cost you $2,497 more per month with no measurable increase in underlying value. The house does not have a built in chef, or unlimited childcare, or a Tesla that comes fully charged every day with no cost to you.

The Stalemate of the Century: Housing Facing an Existential Momenthttp://www.doctorhousingbubble.com/the-stalemate-of-the-century-housing-facing-an-existential-moment/

Scary charts as promised from the same article:

Oklahoma.

Or California.

What to Expect as You Age

Rosanne M. Leipzig is a geriatrician and author of the book, Honest Aging: An Insider’s Guide to the Second Half of Life. An earlier post Unlocking the Secrets to Aging Well pointed to a podcast. The following is an excerpt from an article by Judith Graham at KFF Health News titled Let’s Have an Honest Conversation About What to Expect as You Age https://kffhealthnews.org/news/article/navigating-aging-expectation-adjustment-change/. Graham interviewed Dr. Leipzig for the story.

Can the stages of aging be broken down, roughly, by decade? No, said Leipzig, noting that people in their 60s and 70s vary significantly in health and functioning. Typically, predictable changes associated with aging “start to happen much more between the ages of 75 and 85,” she told me. Here are a few of the age-related issues she highlights in her book:

  • Older adults often present with different symptoms when they become ill. For instance, a senior having a heart attack may be short of breath or confused, rather than report chest pain. Similarly, an older person with pneumonia may fall or have little appetite instead of having a fever and cough.
  • Older adults react differently to medications. Because of changes in body composition and liver, kidney, and gut function, older adults are more sensitive to medications than younger people and often need lower doses. This includes medications that someone may have taken for years. It also applies to alcohol.
  • Older adults have reduced energy reserves. With advancing age, hearts become less efficient, lungs transfer less oxygen to the blood, more protein is needed for muscle synthesis, and muscle mass and strength decrease. The result: Older people generate less energy even as they need more energy to perform everyday tasks.
  • Hunger and thirst decline. People’s senses of taste and smell diminish, lessening food’s appeal. Loss of appetite becomes more common, and seniors tend to feel full after eating less food. The risk of dehydration increases.
  • Cognition slows. Older adults process information more slowly and work harder to learn new information. Multitasking becomes more difficult, and reaction times grow slower. Problems finding words, especially nouns, are typical. Cognitive changes related to medications and illness are more frequent.
  • The musculoskeletal system is less flexible. Spines shorten as the discs that separate the vertebrae become harder and more compressed; older adults typically lose 1 to 3 inches in height as this happens. Balance is compromised because of changes in the inner ear, the brain, and the vestibular system (a complex system that regulates balance and a person’s sense of orientation in space). Muscles weaken in the legs, hips, and buttocks, and range of motion in joints contracts. Tendons and ligaments aren’t as strong, and falls and fractures are more frequent as bones become more brittle.
  • Eyesight and hearing change. Older adults need much more light to read than younger people. It’s harder for them to see the outlines of objects or distinguish between similar colors as color and contrast perception diminishes. With changes to the cornea, lens, and fluid within the eye, it takes longer to adjust to sunlight as well as darkness.
  • Because of accumulated damage to hair cells in the inner ear, it’s harder to hear, especially at high frequencies. It’s also harder to understand speech that’s rapid and loaded with information or that occurs in noisy environments.
  • Sleep becomes fragmented. It takes longer for older adults to fall asleep, and they sleep more lightly, awakening more in the night.

This is by no means a complete list of physiological changes that occur as we grow older.

Ouch.

Even More Random Thoughts on Retirement – October 2023

Source: https://www.statista.com/chart/31034/change-in-behavior-in-response-to-inflation/

Muscle loss and chronic disease

One of the most important parts of exercise programming, no matter who I am working with, is proper resistance training to build muscle strength. Some amount of age-related loss of muscle function is normal and inevitable. But by incorporating resistance training that is appropriate and safe at any ability level, you can slow down the rate of decline and even prevent some loss of muscle function.

The medical term for a condition that involves age-related loss of muscle function and mass is sarcopenia. Sarcopenia can begin as early as age 40, but it tends to be more common in adults age 60 and older. Sarcopenia is associated with a number of health issues such as increased risk of falling, cardiovascular disease and metabolic disease, among others.

In one of our team’s previous studies, we saw that otherwise healthy individuals with sarcopenia had issues delivering vital nutrients to muscle. This could lead to greater likelihood of various diseases, such as Type 2 diabetes, and slow down recovery from exercise.

Recent estimates suggest that sarcopenia affects 10% to 16% of the elderly population worldwide. But even if a person doesn’t have clinically diagnosed sarcopenia, they may still have some of the underlying symptoms that, if not dealt with, could lead to sarcopenia.

Steep physical decline with age is not inevitable – here’s how strength training can change the trajectoryhttps://theconversation.com/steep-physical-decline-with-age-is-not-inevitable-heres-how-strength-training-can-change-the-trajectory-213131

Reducing overall calorie intake may rejuvenate your muscles and activate biological pathways important for good health, according to researchers. Decreasing calories without depriving the body of essential vitamins and minerals, known as calorie restriction, has long been known to delay the progression of age-related diseases in animal models. This new study suggests the same biological mechanisms may also apply to humans.

NIH/National Institute on Aging. “Calorie restriction in humans builds strong muscle and stimulates healthy aging genes.” ScienceDaily. ScienceDaily, 13 October 2023. https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2023/10/231013150733.htm

When I said random thoughts I meant it.

More Random Thoughts on Retirement – September 2023

Again, you can’t connect the dots looking forward; you can only connect them looking backward. So you have to trust that the dots will somehow connect in your future. You have to trust in something — your gut, destiny, life, karma, whatever. This approach has never let me down, and it has made all the difference in my life.

Steve Jobs

The older I get the more I think about retirement. But some things in this life should take a while to make decisions about and retirement is definitely one of those things. I made my decision on retirement 4 years ago when I decided not to retire. Recently, I made my second decision about retirement when I again decided not to retire. But it’s never too early to start thinking about various aspects of retirement as in what you want to retire to. I want to retire to a quiet life of blogging and writing my Future Best Seller tentatively titled The Man Who Had No Hobbies.

The time had come to upgrade my workstation.

Here’s the workstation for my Day Job.

And here’s my new personal workstation setup (yeah, looks the same).

My old Windows 7 machine was nearing the end. At the bottom left of the picture you can see it still sitting on the floor. I’ve upgraded to a Windows 11 laptop, docking station, and two extra monitors. I should be good until Windows 20 now.

For other random retirement thoughts go to https://garyskitchen.net/. At one point I may combine the two into a single blog.

Maybe when I’m retired.

Save as Much as You Can Because Whatever You Manage to Save Will Never Be Enough – Random Thoughts on Retirement

As a gentle reminder to readers who may be visiting this blog for the first time my Random Thoughts About Retirement are written by an Old Guy who is old enough to be retired but isn’t retired and is still working. To be clear, saving as much as you can is different than saving more. I come across way too much “financial advice” that emphasizes saving more for retirement as the hands down absolute solution for a secure retirement. Saving more is typically followed by advice to spend less. Well life keeps getting more expensive so it’s getting harder to save more AND spend less.

So save as much as you can. That’s it. That’s the post.

Random Thoughts on Retirement – aka The Dot Project

Again, you can’t connect the dots looking forward; you can only connect them looking backward. So you have to trust that the dots will somehow connect in your future. You have to trust in something — your gut, destiny, life, karma, whatever. This approach has never let me down, and it has made all the difference in my life.

Steve Jobs

While writing random retirement thoughts the other day I noticed the similarities between A Plan is Not a Strategy – Update 08.03.22 and my Dot Project. Harvard Prof Robert Martin discusses how planning and strategy are different and that “integrative choices” collectively become strategy. These integrative choices are significant decisions you have made or choose to make that have life altering consequences. I come from a humble background and tend to shy away from BIG FANCY WORDS used by intellectuals and others who want to appear smarter than they truly are. So for me these choices or life decisions are Dots.

Dots. Big Dots. Little Dots. Even Do Nothing Dots where you decide not to do something are Dots. The decision not to do something can be as important to life outcomes as a decision to do something. The problem as Jobs tells it is true. You can only connect your Dots when looking backwards.

I started my Dot Project writing six years ago and got as far as jotting down Dots in my journal as writing prompts. So far I’ve documented about a dozen Dots but never got around to actually writing anything about them. Until today. I’ve reached the point in life where I am able to look backwards and Connect My Dots. My hope is the reader will find these insights to be useful in your own journey. My second hope is that my children and their children find my Dot Project and learn a tad bit more about where they came from.

The Dot Project and Random Thoughts on Retirement are one and the same. Next up – Save as Much as You Can Because Whatever You Manage to Save Will Never Be Enough – Random Thoughts on Retirement.

More Random Thoughts on Retirement – June 2023

Another quiet Sunday and I’m thinking about retirement (again). Writers read a lot. I’ll typically have quite a number of books started in various stages of completion. Recently I started reading the first in a series of books titled The Write Quotes: The Writing Life. The quotes paint similarities of thoughts and experiences and are amazing. You realize you are never alone in any of life’s adventures.

Since 2021, more than 1.5 million seniors have reentered the workforce. There were about 10.6 million people ages 65 to 74 employed in 2020, according to 2021 data from the U.S. Labor Department.

That number is expected to increase.

Retiring from retirement: Whether for financial reasons or boredom, a growing number of older adults are rejoining the workforce — https://triblive.com/local/valley-news-dispatch/back-to-work-whether-for-financial-reasons-or-boredom-a-growing-number-of-older-adults-are-rejoining-the-workforce/

Just last month I came to the realization that (I am) Flunking Retirement. When 65 rolled around I started collecting a small corporate defined benefit pension. Years ago the monthly amount had a lot more purchasing power than it does now. Still, I feel fortunate to have this income stream.

In yesteryear, the pension was a staple of the American working class experience—reach retirement age and you could expect to live out your years modestly, yet comfortably, off of monthly payments from your former employer. However, since the 1980s, companies offering pensions are a dwindling breed. Instead, most employers offer defined contribution programs such as 401(k) plans. Only a handful of industries (such as the military, public works and education) still offer pension plans to their retirees.

Why Pensions Are Dying And How You Can Create Your Own —https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbesfinancecouncil/2023/06/05/why-pensions-are-dying-and-how-you-can-create-your-own/?sh=4970c87ec9d4

When I reached my US Social Security FRA (full retirement age) I didn’t retire nor start collecting benefits. Delaying social security payments until age 70 translates into about an 8% increase in benefits annually. If you’re healthy and you don’t need the income for necessities, it’s worth the wait.

Working longer is a powerful lever. Social Security benefits claimed at 70 instead of at 62 are at least 76 percent higher, and the additional years of work allow 401(k) assets to increase and reduce the period of time that the assets need to cover. In fact, my research shows that the vast majority of millennials will be fine if they work to age 70. And although that might sound old, it’s historically normal in another sense: Retiring at 70 leaves the ratio of retirement to working years the same as when Social Security was originally introduced.

Millennials and retirement: How bad is it? — https://www.politico.com/agenda/story/2018/06/07/millennials-preparing-for-retirement-000670/

Millennials are not the only generation ill-prepared for retirement.

America’s 65 million Generation Xers (born between 1965 and 1980) are confronted with a new set of financial challenges that are redefining their plans for retirement, just as they enter their final working years, according to Prudential Financial, Inc.’s latest Pulse research survey, “Gen X: Retirement Revised.”

Generation X confronts harsh new reality of retirement: unreadiness — https://news.prudential.com/generation-x-confronts-harsh-new-reality-retirement-unreadiness.htm

Remember A Plan is Not a Strategy – Update 08.03.22? Having a plan for retirement is great but not all plans turn out as planned. My last executive position ended up being my last executive position and trust me, that was not what I planned. It’s a good thing that my strategy worked a lot better than my plans.

Stay tuned for the next installment of my random thoughts on retirement where I will document (finally) the integrative choices I’ve made that comprise my retirement strategy.

Quote for Today – 05.20.23

“Writing memoir may bring ways of seeing the past from an angle that changes it a bit, moments you had forgotten that show up. If you have these surprises, maybe you are thinking of avoiding them. Don’t. Because part of the deal in memoir is having to face things you’d rather not know, especially about yourself. We all have things we’ve buried, if they appear you need to dig them up and take a look at yourself from what may be an unattractive angle…So it has to all come out and get looked at honestly. If it belongs, then it goes in the book. If not, then we’ve learned something worth knowing about our role in our own lives, and in the lives of others. It’s about clarity, which really is the best gift we could give ourselves, and as it turns out, it is useful to others.”

Abigail Thomas

Quotes for Today – 05.19.23

“A master in the art of living draws no sharp distinction between his work and his play; his labor and his leisure; his mind and his body; his education and his recreation. He hardly knows which is which. He simply pursues his vision of excellence through whatever he is doing, and leaves others to determine whether he is working or playing. To himself, he always appears to be doing both.”

Lawrence Pearsall Jacks, educator and Unitarian minister.

“I love playing, it’s just part of me now, and it was then, at 13. I had the dream to play drums, and I ended up being that person, and I’m still that person.

Ringo Starr – 82 years young

Like I said, I think (I am) Flunking Retirement