Survival strategies

(Less Than) Random Thoughts on Retirement – The Dot Project June 2024

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Again, you can’t connect the dots looking forward; you can only connect them looking backward. So you have to trust that the dots will somehow connect in your future. You have to trust in something — your gut, destiny, life, karma, whatever. This approach has never let me down, and it has made all the difference in my life.

Steve Jobs

Save as Much as You Can Because Whatever You Manage to Save Will Never Be Enough – Random Thoughts on Retirement was the post that started the entire series of periodic Random Thoughts on Retirement. In More Random Thoughts on Retirement – Memorial Day 2024 I wrote about staying healthy as my primary goal in retirement.

Another Big Dot

Sometimes things in life work out as planned. Sometimes they don’t. This time the plan is going as planned. At my annual wellness check up everything turned out fine except for my blood pressure. The two readings taken showed an elevated systolic and per Doctor’s orders I had to buy a BP machine which set me back $36 plus tax. I was instructed to keep a log for two weeks. For grins, I checked my online account to see what Dr. Lewis wrote for the office visit notes. No mention whatsoever regarding my BP readings. Probably because both of us felt this wasn’t a huge problem. The Boss started showing some concern and I had to report my pressures to her every day. Again I felt this wasn’t a worrisome medical issue. Besides if the diagnosis was hypertension I was looking at daily Lisinopril 10 mg, no big deal.

After two weeks I sent Dr. Lewis my log. She replied later that day.

Thank you for diligently keeping track of your blood pressure readings. I see that your readings have been fairly consistent. Yes you can stop watching it. If you feel fatigued or headaches please recheck it.

Sincerely,
KL

I survived another annual wellness check. The Road to 70 is still pretty smooth. But the ride is not as smooth for others.

A CivicScience survey of nearly 3,000 respondents conducted between March and May 2024 reported 61% of those aged 55 and over say they won’t be able to retire by 65, and 53% will need to keep working even when they do retire. Boomers and Beyond: 5 Ways To Make Extra Money if You Retire in Your 70s – https://www.gobankingrates.com/retirement/planning/boomers-ways-make-extra-money-retire-70s/.

I admit to falling for the clickbait. Of course I wanted to know about 5 ways to make extra money if I retire in my 70’s. And I’m a Boomer. So I read the article. Here are the 5 ways to make extra money:

  1. Add Money to a High-Yield Savings Account
  2. Buy Dividend Stocks
  3. Rent Out Unused Space in Your Home
  4. Become a Dog Walker
  5. Become a Ride-Share Driver

What is the average monthly benefit for a retired worker? The estimated average monthly Social Security retirement benefit for January 2024 is $1,907. https://faq.ssa.gov/en-us/Topic/article/KA-01903

Hmm…

I wrote back in May that my focus was simple. All I had to do was stay healthy and stay connected with an employer willing to keep an Old Guy with a particular set of skills on the payroll. More Random Thoughts on Retirement – The Dot Project May 2024. At this point I hope to become a dog walker only if I want to, not if I have to. Prioritize your health. Save as much as you can. Plan on living AND working longer. Defer collecting Social Security retirement until you turn 70 (if you can). Read my other blog https://garyskitchen.net/. Tell your friends and family you found this blog written by an Old Guy on what it takes to become an Old Guy. They’ll love you for this.

More Random Thoughts on Retirement – Memorial Day 2024

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JP Morgan data showing expectations vs. reality on the timing of retirement:

Source: When Life Forces Your Hand – https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2024/05/when-life-forces-your-hand/

Memorial Day 2024

The Boss once again is outside in the yard doing her thing. I’m inside doing my thing, drinking coffee, reading, writing. One of my addictions is staying current with the news and this post popped up in my RSS feed. At my age it doesn’t take much prompting for me to reflect on retirement. The Road to 70 is nearly complete. Soon I’ll be writing the next chapter of life The Road to 75. Dear Reader, if this sounds “old”, it is.

Critical thinking and understanding risk are the cornerstones of what I do. So when I have an opportunity to validate or repudiate the key assumptions in my plans I am in my Happy Place. When I decided not to retire several years ago my personal mantra focused on the following two critical variables in my retirement planning:

Stay healthy.

Find a willing employer.

Number One. I just had my annual wellness checkup. Bloodwork normal. Tendency towards obesity curtailed. Blood pressure elevated on two readings. Per Doctor’s orders I bought a BP machine and started keeping a log. All of my readings at home have been normal. A little white coat effect and the excitement of seeing my physician (Redhead Effect)…all good.

Number Two. Don’t underestimate how essential having or finding an employer who will pay you to work as you get older. Too many of us know the feeling of being cast out to the street for becoming too “old”.

As I prepare to write the next chapter it’s time to revisit and revise the two most important goals that got me to where I am. After some considerable time and effort here are my revised goals for the next five years.

Stay healthy.

Keep working for my current willing employer.

Happy Memorial Day.

More Random Thoughts on Retirement – The Dot Project May 2024

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Again, you can’t connect the dots looking forward; you can only connect them looking backward. So you have to trust that the dots will somehow connect in your future. You have to trust in something — your gut, destiny, life, karma, whatever. This approach has never let me down, and it has made all the difference in my life.

Steve Jobs

Let’s be honest: If you keeled over at 68, it would be a family tragedy—but it wouldn’t be a financial one. At that juncture, all your financial problems would be over, and your family would likely be better off financially because they’d inherit your retirement nest egg, which would probably still be largely intact. Instead, the real financial risk is living to a ripe old age. That raises the question: As you make your retirement plans, shouldn’t you care more about the live version of your future self, rather than the dead one?

Long Odds – https://humbledollar.com/2024/05/long-odds/

When I wrote Save as Much as You Can Because Whatever You Manage to Save Will Never Be Enough – Random Thoughts on Retirement I started thinking more about the financial side of living too long. Well, it looks like a ton of media outlets are thinking the same thoughts.

Today’s life expectancies hover just below eighty, and if you reach the milestone of seventy they jump to the mid eighties. Due to advances in medicine and healthier lifestyles, reaching your nineties or even 100 is more realistic than ever. How do you ensure that you don’t run out of money? The answer is to start saving more now and plan to work longer. You’re Going to Live Past 90. Congrats! Here’s How to Pay For It. — https://www.esquire.com/news-politics/a60647995/how-to-afford-living-to-100/

A Big Dot

A little over four and a half years ago at the tender age of 65 my boss asked me if I was planning on retiring or if I wanted to continue working. I said I wanted to continue working. My FRA (full retirement age) for social security retirement benefits was still nearly a year away and I really didn’t want to collect a reduced benefit. As I connect the dots this decision turned out to be a Big Dot. Covid happened. Then inflation soared and continues to soar making everything cost more. I’m glad I didn’t retire back then and lock in a lower monthly lifetime benefit before the cost of everything went up.

Sometimes things in life work out as planned. Sometimes they don’t. When I decided to stay in the workforce the strategy was to wait until age 70 to collect social security benefits. The math was compelling.

https://www.ssa.gov/benefits/retirement/planner/delayret.html

My focus was simple. All I had to do was stay healthy and stay connected with an employer willing to keep an Old Guy with a particular set of skills on the payroll.

My particular set of skills is understanding what kills people.

The Road to 70 is now just a short trip. Just 10% of people in one survey planned to wait until age 70 to claim Social Security – https://www.cnbc.com/2023/08/08/survey-just-10percent-plan-to-wait-until-age-70-to-claim-social-security.html. Time for another Big Dot related to this Big Dot. I think I’ll keep working for another 3-5 years, contingent upon the same variables of sustained good health and a willing employer. I have about another 30 years to go, so why not do a few more years of work?

Another Reason to Exercise (your brain)

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Group-based trajectory modeling identified four groups of distinct occupational cognitive demands according to the degree of routine tasks in the participants occupations during their 30s, 40s, 50s and 60s. The researchers analyzed the link between these trajectory groups and clinically diagnosed MCI and dementia in participants in the HUNT4 70+ Study (2017-19). Additionally, the researchers accounted for important dementia risk factors such as age, gender, educational level, income, overall health, and lifestyle habits from assessments made in 1984-86 and 1995-97.  Within age groupings the researchers looked at such occupations as primary school teacher, salesperson, nurse and caregiver, office cleaner, civil engineer, and mechanic, among others.

After adjusting for age, sex, and education, the group with low occupational cognitive demands (the high RTI group) had a 37 percent higher risk of dementia compared to the group with high occupational cognitive demands. Occupations That Are Cognitively Stimulating May Be Protective Against Later-life Dementia — https://www.publichealth.columbia.edu/news/occupations-are-cognitively-stimulating-may-be-protective-against-later-life-dementia

Link to the study abstract – https://www.neurology.org/doi/10.1212/WNL.0000000000209353

I hope my spouse doesn’t read this or she’ll never let me retire.

Diet Until Proven Otherwise

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According to a study published in BMC Medicine, men who ate the most plant-based foods had a 22 percent reduced risk of colon cancer, compared with those who ate the least. Eating a plant-based diet increases consumption of fiber and antioxidants associated with cancer prevention, while simultaneously avoiding the compounds in animal products linked to cancer risk. It has long been known that people who avoid meat are at reduced risk.

The power of nutrition in cancer prevention — https://www.kevinmd.com/2024/02/the-power-of-nutrition-in-cancer-prevention.html

Also schedule that colonoscopy you’ve been putting off.

Aerobic + Resistance (do both)

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Conclusions: In adults with overweight or obesity, aerobic exercise alone or combined resistance plus aerobic exercise, but not resistance exercise alone, improved composite CVD risk profile compared with the control.

Aerobic, resistance, or combined exercise training and cardiovascular risk profile in overweight or obese adults: the CardioRACE trial – European Heart Journal https://doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehad827

Effects of 1-year resistance, aerobic, or combined exercise training on cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk profile: the CardioRACE trial. Aerobic exercise alone or combined aerobic plus resistance exercise, but not resistance exercise alone, improved CVD risk profile (composite Z-score) compared with no-exercise control (Z-score values below 0 indicate favourable changes in CVD risk factors). BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; CVD, cardiovascular disease; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; SBP, systolic blood pressure.

Plant Based Diets and Covid-19

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Of the total participants, 47 percent reported having had COVID-19 infection. The omnivorous group had a significantly higher incidence of infection (52 percent vs. 40 percent) and were more likely to experience moderate to severe symptoms (18 percent vs. 11 percent).

After adjusting for influential factors such as weight, pre-existing medical conditions, and physical activity levels, there was no overall difference in symptom severity between the groups. However, those following predominantly plant-based or vegetarian diets were 39-percent less likely to become infected than their omnivorous counterparts.

The researchers suggest that plant-based diets may contribute to a boosted immune system and better defense against viral infections due to their richness in antioxidants, phytosterols, and polyphenols.

Plant-Based Diets Linked to 39 Percent Lower COVID-19 Infection Rate, Study Finds — https://vegnews.com/vegan-news/plant-based-diet-low-covid-19-infection-rate-study

Link to the original study Vegetarian and plant-based diets associated with lower incidence of COVID-19 — https://nutrition.bmj.com/content/early/2024/01/02/bmjnph-2023-000629

Eat more plants.

Scary Charts 12.26.23 Revised

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A very astute reader asked a very simple question: Why is this scary? So I went back and looked at my post. I thought I had completed the post but obviously not. The chart lacked context. So here’s the rest of the post I thought I posted. Welcome to my Senior Moment.

The relatively high labor force participation of Boomers may be beneficial both to them and the wider economy. Some retirement experts emphasize working longer as the key to a secure retirement, in part because the generosity of monthly Social Security benefits increases with each year claiming is postponed. For the economy as a whole, economic growth in part depends on labor force growth, and the Boomers staying in the work force bolsters the latter.

Baby Boomers are staying in the labor force at rates not seen in generations for people their age — https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2019/07/24/baby-boomers-us-labor-force/

What I forgot to include in the post now follows.

After finishing and posting Even More Random Thoughts on Retirement – November 2023 something kept bugging me. So I thought about this for a while and uncovered what was bugging me. The following quote bugged me:

To ease the anxiety of retirement, consider delaying Social Security to get a larger monthly check and perhaps also purchasing immediate fixed annuities. I plan to do both.

What We Lose — https://humbledollar.com/2023/08/what-we-lose

Specifically the part of the quote in bold bugged me. I thought to myself, nice plan. But how many people can afford to buy an immediate fixed annuity? I can’t. How many people actually defer Social Security until age 70 to maximize their monthly payments?

Well, get ready for the ugly. It’s Scary Chart time.

Answer: 4%

Why just 4%?

Answer: 97% of people who retired sooner than planned did so due to health and employment issues.

Source: https://www.transamericacenter.org/retirement-research/23rd-annual-retirement-survey

Some retirees get fabulous bull markets right when they leave the working world while some retire into the teeth of a bear market.

How The Market Shapes Your Portfolio — https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2023/11/how-your-market-shapes-your-portfolio/

And some retirees will leave the working world straight into a world of high inflation.

Just beyond the guests and beyond the hornbeam trees where I’ve strung fairy lights for the party, I think I can see my future. The grind of work is finally over, my retirement dream cued up. April in Paris! Reading by the sea! Spanish lessons in Antigua so I can better speak to my grandson. I’ll be playing with him, too, in the open-ended days my children rarely knew with me. I’m not saying I deserve a life of ease. But I worked hard to earn my retirement, dropping giant chunks of my salary into company and government pension plans throughout those forty years. It’s time for the famous social contract to hold up its end of the bargain and take care of me, the way it did my father before me, to deliver on the idea that retirement is my right after a life of work and the promise that I will have the time and means to enjoy it.

Except none of that happened. The year since my retirement party has not been a dreamy passage to a welcoming future but a nerve-shattering trip into the unknown. My debt is swelling like a broken ankle; my hard-won savings may or may not be sucked into the vortex of an international market collapse. Can I keep my house? Who knows? The macro-economy is messing with my micro-economy. The future keeps shape-shifting. And none of the careful planning I put into my retirement is going to change that.

The End of Retirement — https://thewalrus.ca/the-end-of-retirement/

So beware of statistics. The reason why more Baby Boomers are working is because they have to.

Thank you Ol Red Hair.

The Best Retirement Letter Ever

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That’s it!

My favorite excerpt from the letter:

Let’s be honest, some people in academia are horrible, arrogant, selfish and narcissistic. And no matter how much the people at the top say they deal with bad behaviour, the nasty folk do have an annoying habit of getting promoted. The way in which academia selects and rewards particular skill sets produces an over-concentration of people who are low on empathy. I’ve met a lot of those ‘special’ colleagues over the years (no names mentioned obviously). I will not miss them one jot. They create a toxic working environment , dominate the discourse, ride roughshod over the rules, and cause a great deal of harm to others and get away scot-free. They’ve done me significant mental damage, but I can now happily forget them and move on with life.

My recommendation to anyone starting out in academia is stand your ground, challenge these energy vampires and politely make it clear that you don’t want to play their stupid toxic games. They really don’t have the power that they want you to believe they have, even though the system tends to promote them to roles that are beyond their emotional competence to fulfill. Pity them for the lack of other things to do with their lives. And, remember that 98% of what we do as academics is of no importance at all out there in the real world, so when a self-entitled colleague insists that their work on their favourite gene is earth-shattering; more important than anything you could ever do; and a good reason for their career to be advanced faster than yours; just smile and ignore them. Do your own thing, at your own pace. Have a life outside the university and remember that it’s just a job.

https://journalofhumannutritionanddieteticseditor.wordpress.com/2023/11/27/thats-it/

Even More Random Thoughts on Retirement – November 2023

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Retirement blues are “a dirty secret,” says Robert Delamontagne, PhD, author of The Retiring Mind. He had to go through his own adjustment when he retired in 2007. He says people are reluctant to talk openly about those struggles because it’s embarrassing. “People would ask me, ‘How’s retirement?’ I used to say, ‘It’s great! I’m having a great time!’ What was I supposed to say?” Once the newness wears off, you may start to question your new situation. “Will my money last?” “Will my health hold up?” “Am I being useful, or am I going to just play bridge and golf for the rest of my life?”

The Emotional Shock of Retirement — https://www.webmd.com/healthy-aging/features/emotional-shock-retirement?src=RSS_PUBLIC

Saturday 11/4

The strategy has achieved clarity. The Plan is a 3-5 year time-frame. The objective is to continue full time paid work then pursue part time paid work til death do us part. As a younger man I never envisioned this to be my desired life in retirement. But here we are.

Time is the most valuable asset I’m sacrificing for this strategy. Time to do whatever I please, whenever I like. Personal projects like my future best seller The Man Who Had No Hobbies will have a completion date further into the future. But the tradeoffs for me are worth it. Many times I’ve asked retired people how’s retirement? Too many times the answer is “I’m bored”. When you are younger, working your ass off, building a career, raising a family, the thought of retirement is seductive. The reality of retirement is different and nothing you could have imagined in your younger life.

No one talks about what we lose when we retire. Well, no one except Jonathan Clements the founder and editor of https://humbledollar.com/ Here’s his list:

  • Income
  • Identity
  • Purpose
  • Structure
  • Community
  • Relevance
  • Power

Income. This is the most obvious loss, we all know it’s coming—and yet many folks are left anxious by the disappearance of their paycheck, even if they have ample savings. Moreover, with that paycheck gone, not only do we lose the ability to save, but also our financial life goes into reverse, with savings coming out of our nest egg instead of going in.

Given that, it’s hardly surprising that studies suggest retirees tend to be happier when they have ample predictable income, such as from a pension. Don’t have a pension? To ease the anxiety of retirement, consider delaying Social Security to get a larger monthly check and perhaps also purchasing immediate fixed annuities. I plan to do both.

What We Lose — https://humbledollar.com/2023/08/what-we-lose/

Read the full article at the link above. Especially if you are nearing retirement.

Well, that’s enough thinking about retirement for a Saturday morning. I have to mow the shade grass The Boss over seeded in the backyard. There’s college football today. I also need to get ready for dinner company tonight.