Time to Hunker Down

Be safe this year in whatever form of holiday celebrating you choose to do.

The holidays are upon us, which means a spike in gatherings of people who do not otherwise see one another. Such get-togethers, especially if they are multi-generational, can spark more outbreaks. I take no joy in saying this, but all of this means that any gathering outside one’s existing quarantine pod should be avoided for now—especially if it is indoors. Think of it as a postponement and plan to hold it later. Better a late Christmas than an early medical catastrophe. Pods should not expand unless absolutely necessary. Order takeout instead of dining indoors. Make game night virtual. Shop in bulk, so you can do fewer trips to the store. It’s not the right time for wedding receptions or birthday parties.

Young people present one of the biggest challenges. Many colleges are ending school and sending students home, for what could be a country-wide super-spreader event. That age group—young adults—is especially dangerous; while they can get infected, they are less likely to get very sick, so they don’t stay put the way sick people would. That means they pose a great risk to their more vulnerable parents and other older relatives as they go about their lives. Ideally, colleges should offer the students already on campus the option to stay in the dorms over winter break, and those who live in off-campus housing should consider staying put. If they do go home, the students should quarantine for the recommended two weeks to the greatest degree possible.

It’s Time to Hunker Down — https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/11/lock-yourself-down-now/617106/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+AtlanticFood+%28The+Atlantic+-+Health%29

Meanwhile in Tulsa County Oklahoma…

Zip codes in severe Covid-19 risk category — https://tulsaworld.com/news/local/we-re-not-in-a-good-place-22-tulsa-county-zip-codes-in-severe-covid/article_748baca2-25df-11eb-a21f-17083eb6af35.html?utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter&utm_campaign=user-share

and Garfield County Colorado…

Meanwhile back at the ranch…

What will Thanksgiving look like this year? We asked a turkey farmer. Read https://www.vox.com/the-goods/21561288/thanksgiving-dinner-2020-turkey-farmer-pandemic-smaller-birds for some insight into…turkeys.

Aspen Market – Report July 2020 – the Great Urban Exodus

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6 Bedrooms / 7 Full Baths / 2 Half Baths / 7,489 SF
$4,299,000 — EXTREMELY well priced at $575./sq ft
Extremely well priced relative to Aspen proper.  The most recent highest Sale in Aspen was $27,000,000 or $3090/sq ft for a 7-bedroom home on Willoughby Way built in 2015.
Aspen 072020

 

The real estate market is booming! Demand has reached unprecedented levels as people escape the big cities, take advantage of record low interest rates and opt to work remotely. This was the biggest July our market has ever seen by far with 42 closings in Aspen and Snowmass, a 100% increase compared to last July, and dollar volume increased 215%. July sales for Aspen and Snowmass combined are illustrated below.

The local realtor’s email contains tons more information and data on her real estate market.  Her email was forwarded to me from my project who lives and works in the Aspen area.  If I could get $3090/sq ft for my house I’d get $11,124,000!  (minus realtor commissions).

Time to reread Jane Jacobs’ Life and Death of American Cities.